CATEGORIES

ARCHIVES

June 2008

May 2008

April 2008

February 2008

January 2008

December 2007

October 2007

August 2007

July 2007

June 2007

May 2007

April 2007

March 2007

February 2007

January 2007

December 2006

November 2006

October 2006

September 2006

August 2006

July 2006

June 2006

May 2006

April 2006

March 2006

February 2006

January 2006

December 2005

November 2005

October 2005

September 2005

August 2005


XML FEEDS

Atom

RSS

CONTACT

Send suggestions to:

blog@housing.com

RSS Feed
Add to My Yahoo!
Add to MyMSN
Subscribe at NewsGator Online

Links

Architecture
Archinect
FabPreFab
Land + Living

Bubble Blogs
Marin Real Estate Bubble Blog
The Housing Bubble Blog
Bubble Meter
The Boy In The Housing Bubble
New Jersey Real Estate Bubble
Design
Design Public
NY Times House & Home
Green
Alternative Fuel Watch
TreeHugger
Green Links
Real Estate
Apartment Therapy
Curbed
Inman News
MSNBC Real Estate
NY Times Real Estate
Mortgage & Finance
Bankrate Blog
CNN Money
Other
AskMetaFilter
Getting Things Done


Powered by
Movable Type 3.2

Housing Bubble: Mock The Stupid


The latest report from the Commerce Department shows a nearly 9 percent decline in new homes and apartments being built. Couple of interesting notes from the article:

Despite the tumble, "construction was started on 2.064 million single-family homes and apartments last year, the second-highest level on record, exceeded only by 2.356 million units built in 1972." I'll be getting a copy of the report to see if the construction stats match my theories about the Midwest housing boom.

He said he was looking for construction of new homes and apartments to drop by about 6.5 percent in 2006 with sales of new homes falling by a similar amount.

It'll be interesting to see if that estimate holds true for all of 2006. Thanks to the wonderful blogmistress at Housing Finance, we have a clue at how federal agencies are viewing the new construction focus of housing. Specifically, if this multi-agency report is any indication, they're quite worried about it:

In the past, weak CRE loan underwriting and depressed CRE markets
have contributed to significant bank failures and instability in the
banking system. While underwriting standards are generally stronger
than those during previous CRE cycles, the Agencies have observed high
concentrations in CRE loans at some institutions. The Agencies are
concerned that these concentrations may make the institutions more
vulnerable to cyclical CRE markets. Accordingly, institutions with such
CRE concentrations should have both heightened risk management
practices and levels of capital that are higher than the regulatory
minimums and appropriate to the risk in their CRE lending portfolios.

"CRE" stands for "Commercial Real Estate." Boy, where were these guys when condos actually sold for less than $300,000, eh?

Let's take a moment to visit Inman, and the future head of NAR, Steve Dexter:

If that is the only way to get yourself the best wealth generation tool in history, do it. I am more concerned about the lack of deferred gratification young homeowners can exhibit. The mature homeowner makes their house payment, even if they eat beans for dinner
Steve Dexter

From the old days:

"If you paid your mortgage off, it means you probably did not manage your funds efficiently over the years. It's as if you had 500,000 dollar bills stuffed in your mattress.... [It's] very unsophisticated.'
-- David Lereah, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors and author of "Are You Missing the Real Estate Boom?"

There's a part of me that wonders if Lereah and his ilk pay trolls to spam news sites and blogs with crap like Dexter's. Hey, if pay-to-play is good enough for Richard Scrushy...

Posted at January 19, 2006 10:09 PM

digg this story

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://weblog.housing.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/104


Go back